Many
investors have been caught in a financial vise in
2001, their portfolios clamped down by a stagnant
stock market and a dramatic decline in yields on cash
and fixed-income investments.
Most
prone to this stuck-in-quicksand feeling are those
who sold themselves out of a volatile stock market
in 2000 and into short-term investments, such as money
market accounts and certificates of deposit.
At
the time, CDs and MMAs had a lot going for them --
these safe havens were posting their highest returns
in five years. Those same investments now carry the
lowest yields, on average, in the past seven years.
So
what is an investor to do?
Often,
the best course of action is to do nothing.
People
sometimes think that somewhere there exists a foolproof
way to glide through the gyrations of interest rates,
economic cycles and stock market corrections unscathed.
Sadly, we are no more likely to uncover such a secret
than to find the Fountain of Youth or the pot of gold
at the end of the rainbow.
A
well-founded long-term investing strategy -- with
allocation among and diversification within investment
classes -- will carry you through good times and bad
to reach long-range objectives. The risk of using
short-term thinking with long-term money has the potential
to far outweigh the effects of inherent volatility.
A
fixed-income investor who moves away from lower-yielding,
risk-free investments to pursue higher yields on non-investment
grade debt, for example, encounters the far greater
risk of principal loss.
Jeopardizing
the principal from which the investment income is
earned is akin to the farmer betting the farm. Same
goes for the 20-, 30-, and 40-somethings bellyaching
at the water cooler about their declining 401(k) balances.
The risk of investing too conservatively now poses
a far greater risk to retirement security than the
current market malaise.
The
question to ask is whether your portfolio is in mesh
with your long-term goals. Proper apportionment among
stocks, bonds and cash, and the periodic rebalancing
needed to keep this mix intact are vital to weathering
market and economic conditions while achieving long-range
objectives.
Did
the New York Yankees win every game last year? No.
But they did achieve the larger goal of winning the
World Series.
Just
as a championship ball club doesn't jettison a proven
lineup of productive players in favor of minor league
call-ups amid a losing streak, investors should not
dismiss the long-term merits of a properly allocated
and well-diversified portfolio amid the inevitable
short-lived volatility.
Greg
McBride is a financial analyst for Bankrate.com.
--
Posted: July 13, 2001